Volume 15, Issue 1 p. 17-24
Featured Article

Racial and ethnic estimates of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias in the United States (2015–2060) in adults aged ≥65 years

Kevin A. Matthews

Corresponding Author

Kevin A. Matthews

Division of Population Health, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, CDC, Atlanta, GA, USA

Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 7704888124; Fax: +1 7704885965.

E-mail address: [email protected]

Search for more papers by this author
Wei Xu

Wei Xu

Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, USA

Search for more papers by this author
Anne H. Gaglioti

Anne H. Gaglioti

National Center for Primary Care, Department of Family Medicine, Morehouse School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA

Search for more papers by this author
James B. Holt

James B. Holt

Division of Population Health, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, CDC, Atlanta, GA, USA

Search for more papers by this author
Janet B. Croft

Janet B. Croft

Division of Population Health, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, CDC, Atlanta, GA, USA

Search for more papers by this author
Dominic Mack

Dominic Mack

National Center for Primary Care, Department of Family Medicine, Morehouse School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA

Search for more papers by this author
Lisa C. McGuire

Lisa C. McGuire

Division of Population Health, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, CDC, Atlanta, GA, USA

Search for more papers by this author
First published: 19 September 2018
Citations: 753

Abstract

Introduction

Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) cause a high burden of morbidity and mortality in the United States. Age, race, and ethnicity are important risk factors for ADRD.

Methods

We estimated the future US burden of ADRD by age, sex, and race and ethnicity by applying subgroup-specific prevalence among Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries aged ≥65 years in 2014 to subgroup-specific population estimates for 2014 and population projection data from the United States Census Bureau for 2015 to 2060.

Results

The burden of ADRD in 2014 was an estimated 5.0 million adults aged ≥65 years or 1.6% of the population, and there are significant disparities in ADRD prevalence among population subgroups defined by race and ethnicity. ADRD burden will double to 3.3% by 2060 when 13.9 million Americans are projected to have the disease.

Discussion

These estimates can be used to guide planning and interventions related to caring for the ADRD population and supporting caregivers.